Arsenal beat West Ham 1-0 at the London Stadium on Sunday — Leandro Trossard's first-half goal the only one to stand — after a stoppage-time Callum Wilson equaliser for the Hammers was disallowed on video review for a forearm across the face of Arsenal goalkeeper David Raya. [1] The result restores Arsenal's lead at the top of the Premier League to five points over Manchester City with two matches to play. The title race, having looked closed a fortnight ago, has now reopened on the calendar.
The structural fact at the bottom of the table is sharper. West Ham sit four points adrift of seventeenth-placed Tottenham with two matches remaining and Spurs holding a match in hand at Leeds on Monday evening. [2] Burnley and Wolves have already been relegated. The third Premier League relegation slot is now West Ham's to lose. Opta's supercomputer placed the Hammers' relegation probability above 80 percent in its Sunday-evening update. ESPN's match report confirmed the goal difference math is no longer in West Ham's favour even if results break their way next weekend. [3]
The VAR decision will run for the week. The Hammers' contention is that Wilson's arm did not move toward Raya's face; the Premier League Match Centre's reasoning, posted Sunday night, is that Wilson's forearm extended into Raya's challenge area as the goalkeeper rose for the cross. Either reading is defensible. Neither moves the table.
The London Stadium has not hosted top-flight football since 2012 without a relegation candidate playing in it. Sunday's result suggests it may not have to.
-- CHARLES ASHFORD, London