Day Nineteen of Pakistan's mediation channel between Washington and Tehran produced its third Munir visit to the Iranian capital and its first named Tehran negotiating spokesman, but not the fourteen-point document the paper has been counting since the channel opened. Field Marshal Asim Munir, Pakistan's army chief, arrived in Tehran Friday for what the United States announcement described as a third round of meetings between Pakistani and Iranian officials. [1] Esmaeil Baghaei, the Iranian foreign-ministry spokesman, was appointed Friday as spokesman for the Iranian negotiators. [2]
The paper's Thursday account of Day Eighteen took the position that three weeks of channel work without a public text is itself a credibility datum: the proposal exists, but only as a paraphrase, only inside government rooms, only attributed to other channels' summaries. Friday refines the position. The text remains missing. Tehran has now formalised the spokesperson for the side that supposedly produced it, without disclosing what it says.
The reported five elements, repeated across the Independent's running summary and PressTV's Friday redistribution of Baghaei, are: Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz, war-damage compensation, sanctions lifting, frozen-assets release, and US troop withdrawal from the region. [3] None of these terms have moved through the Pakistani foreign ministry's public site, the Iranian parliament's resolutions database, or the White House readout system. The paper has been asking for any one of these surfaces; none has appeared.
The structure of the channel is now visible even if its content is not. Pakistan facilitated the US-Iran face-to-face talks in Islamabad in April. [1] Munir has met Iranian leaders twice this week before Friday's third round; Pakistani Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi has met them as well. Qatar's delegation arrived Friday. Egypt, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia are coordinating. The architecture is quadripartite when the paper counts Rubio at NATO Helsingborg, Munir in Tehran, Baghaei at the Iranian foreign ministry, and Jean-Noël Barrot in Paris drafting the French Security Council resolution on the Strait. [4]
Rubio's "slight progress" line at Helsingborg, paired with the warning of "other options," ran inside the same Associated Press wire that carried CENTCOM's 94-vessel figure. [1] The Secretary of State explicitly named Iran's tolling system as a deal-breaker — "no country in the world should accept that" — at a moment when Tehran's ambassador to Paris was telling Bloomberg that Iran and Oman "have been discussing a permanent toll system for the Strait of Hormuz." [5] The toll is the point at which the missing fourteen-point text would have to disclose itself. It has not.
Iran's parliament, per Eurasia Group's Gregory Brew citing the body's own draft, has been considering toll figures up to $2 million per ship — about $100 billion a year against current Hormuz traffic at the lower estimate. [5] Shipping circles have heard $150,000 per ship from the Telegraph's "Iran: The Latest" podcast. [6] The gap between Brew's parliamentary draft and the shipping number is the size of the diplomatic problem: Tehran's domestic political ceiling is twenty times the rate the market is being asked to pay.
The Pakistani foreign ministry's silence on the actual document has now lasted three weeks. The Iranian foreign ministry's silence has lasted as long. Day Nineteen ends without the text and without a date for the text. What it has produced is a longer roster: Munir to Tehran for a third round, Baghaei into the spokesman seat, Qatar's delegation arrived, France's draft circulated, Rubio's "slight progress" tabled in front of the NATO allies. The architecture is acquiring people. The proposal is not acquiring a public form.
-- PRIYA SHARMA, Delhi