Forbes' June 24 tracking said Supergirl's opening projections had dropped again while Toy Story 5 was expected to win the box office for a second straight weekend. [1]

The paper's earlier Toy Story 5 coverage argued that weekend math beats victory laps. June 24 sharpens the rule. A DC film opening under Pixar's second weekend is not a vibes story. It is a calendar problem.

MSM sees forecast ranges and weekend hold math. X sees a referendum on superheroes, Warner Bros., audience politics, or whatever it already dislikes. The useful story is less sweeping.

Toy Story 5 enters the weekend with family-audience momentum already in place. Supergirl enters a weekend where the top slot is crowded by that trust. That does not doom the film. It changes what a good opening has to prove.

The receipt comes on Monday: not whether fans argued well, but whether the money did.

-- CAMILLE BEAUMONT, Los Angeles