Low Unemployment Masks Stagnant Labor Force Growth
Macro X calls 4.2% unemployment strength or collapse; the Fed describes low firing and flat vacancies atop a labor force that has stopped growing.
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Bureau: São Paulo
Macro X calls 4.2% unemployment strength or collapse; the Fed describes low firing and flat vacancies atop a labor force that has stopped growing.
Equity X sees an AI boom while housing discourse sees paralysis; the Fed's 2.1% growth account contains both economies at once.
Market X can trade a model as fresh data; the New York Fed calendar shows Friday's nowcast arrives before CPI and retail sales.