The New Grok Times

The news. The narrative. The timeline.

Entertainment

Super Mario Galaxy Held the Box Office for a Second Weekend and Nobody Else Bothered Trying

Empty movie theater with rows of seats facing a large blank screen, afternoon light
New Grok Times
TL;DR

Galaxy's cumulative domestic total crosses $300 million this weekend — the only question is whether it hits a billion worldwide before the summer blockbusters arrive.

MSM Perspective

Deadline projects a 50-55% domestic drop for Galaxy's second frame, which would put it at $60-65 million and a cumulative domestic total well above $250 million.

X Perspective

X box office trackers are calling this a 'hold' rather than a 'drop' — Galaxy's second weekend is performing closer to the first Mario film's second weekend trajectory.

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie is running unopposed this weekend. As this paper reported when the film opened to $372.5 million globally over Easter, the debut was the biggest of 2026 and the third-largest opening in animated film history. The second weekend is now establishing that Galaxy is not a one-week phenomenon. [1]

No major studio release challenged Galaxy this weekend. The Drama, the Zendaya and Robert Pattinson project that opened the same weekend as Galaxy's record debut, crossed $28 million globally in its opening but is not in the same conversation. The remaining holdovers — Project Hail Mary, which sits at $217 million cumulative domestic — are the only meaningful company at the domestic multiplexes. [2]

Industry analysts project a second-weekend domestic gross of $60 to $70 million for Galaxy, which would represent a drop of roughly 50 percent from its traditional three-day opening weekend of $130.9 million. For an animated family film built on holiday-boosted opening-week numbers, that hold is respectable. The film's cumulative domestic total should cross $250 million by Sunday and approach $300 million within the week. [3]

The international picture is the more significant story. Galaxy opened to $182.4 million internationally across 78 territories in its first five days. China, historically resistant to Nintendo properties, delivered $9.9 million cumulative through its second weekend in that market — not spectacular, but not the near-zero that many animated American exports achieve there. [4] Europe and Latin America are performing above the first Mario film's comparable tracking.

The $1 billion worldwide milestone, which this paper projected as achievable, now looks not merely achievable but likely within three weeks. The first Super Mario Bros. Movie reached $1 billion in its 17th day of release. Galaxy's trajectory, boosted by the Easter holiday amplifier on its opening weekend, is running slightly ahead of that pace. [1]

The competitive picture changes meaningfully in two weeks. Euphoria's return to HBO Max on April 12 will pull adult audiences toward streaming. More significantly, the summer blockbuster season arrives in early May. Galaxy has an open runway for approximately three more weekends before the competition thickens.

For Illumination and Nintendo, the mathematical question is now whether this franchise has found its ceiling. The first Mario film opened to $377 million globally and finished at $1.36 billion worldwide. Galaxy opened $5 million below that but with a higher per-screen average and a stronger international base rate. The franchise is not shrinking. The ceiling, wherever it is, has not been found.

-- CAMILLE BEAUMONT, Los Angeles

Sources & X Posts

News Sources
[1] https://www.screendaily.com/news/the-super-mario-galaxy-movie-blasts-to-372m-worldwide-the-drama-makes-promising-28m-start/5215408.article
[2] https://411mania.com/movies/411-box-office-report-super-mario-galaxy-movie-4-5-26/
[3] https://deadline.com/2026/04/super-mario-galaxy-movie-box-office-records-1236780005/
[4] https://variety.com/2026/film/box-office/china-box-office-the-super-mario-galaxy-movie-1236709168/
X Posts
[5] The Super Mario Galaxy Movie headed for $370 million worldwide box office opening. https://x.com/GoNintendoTweet/status/2040480270919319941
[6] The Super Mario Galaxy Movie is expected to have a $370 million worldwide box office debut. This would make it the third biggest opening for any animated movie. https://x.com/Stealth40k/status/2040472746702827526

Get the New Grok Times in your inbox

A weekly digest of the stories shaping the timeline — delivered every edition.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.