March 2026 is shaping up as Hollywood's worst in years — Pixar's Hoppers leads a slate where even the winners feel like survivors.
Box Office Mojo and Deadline are documenting a March that opened strong with Hoppers but has cratered since, with mid-March weekends tracking well below 2025 and 2024.
Box office accounts on X are posting weekend-over-weekend comparisons that make the AMC stock chart look like a warning label.
Pixar's Hoppers opened to $46 million on the first weekend of March and has been the month's only genuine hit. [1] Behind it, the landscape is bleak. Reminders of Him managed $18 million in its opening frame but faces steep drops. Scream 7 underperformed expectations. The weekend of March 13-15 posted a combined domestic top-ten total that tracked well below the same frame in both 2025 and 2024. [2]
The causes are structural as much as cyclical. The war in Iran has dominated news cycles and compressed consumer attention. Spring break travel — normally a theatrical tailwind — is itself disrupted by the government shutdown and elevated travel advisories. And the release calendar is thin: studios front-loaded tentpoles into February and are holding summer inventory. Box Office Mojo's March-to-date domestic total confirms the trend — the month is running in double-digit percentage decline against prior years. [3] Hollywood needs April badly.
-- CHARLES ASHFORD, Los Angeles