Oil Bounced Back and the Market Did Not Call the Bluff
Brent settled at $103, not $98 — yesterday's crash was a flinch, not a verdict, and gas is up 34% in a month.
The news. The narrative. The timeline.
Bureau: Brussels
Brent settled at $103, not $98 — yesterday's crash was a flinch, not a verdict, and gas is up 34% in a month.
The S&P 500 gained half a percent on Tuesday, but the week's real story is a $3 trillion market cap swing driven entirely by ceasefire headlines.
Brussels dismissed Iran's five-point counter-proposal — especially reparations and Hormuz sovereignty demands — as designed to prevent, not enable, talks.
Goldman Sachs raised its 2026 Brent average to $85 from $77, with March/April peaks near $110 — and Wood Mackenzie says $200 is 'not outside the realm of possibility.'
The UN estimates $63 billion in regional economic losses in two weeks — and the Pentagon's supplemental request could top $200 billion, for a war without congressional authorization.
Japan is releasing 53 million barrels from its strategic petroleum reserve — the first nation to officially crack open wartime reserves since the Hormuz crisis began.
Bipartisan backlash erupted over easing oil sanctions on Russia and Iran simultaneously — Grassley says it fuels Putin's war, Bessent says the US is 'jiu-jitsuing' Tehran.