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An OpenAI Model Disproved an 80-Year Erdős Conjecture and Jack Clark Said Nobel Within a Year

A Sunday-afternoon university common room with a chalkboard showing scattered unit-distance graph dots and a coffee mug on the table.
New Grok Times
TL;DR

OpenAI's reasoning model solved a 1946 unit-distance problem; Anthropic's co-founder told Oxford a Nobel breakthrough is twelve months away and acknowledged a non-zero chance of mass death.

MSM Perspective

OpenAI's own blog and Tim Gowers's X post anchor the math result; mainstream coverage of the Clark Oxford talk has been thinner.

X Perspective

Mathematics-X had four Fields-medal-rank verifications by Wednesday; the same week Clark's Oxford talk reset the public risk discourse to Vatican-encyclical relevance.

OpenAI announced on May 20 that an internal general-purpose reasoning model had autonomously disproved the planar unit-distance conjecture posed by Paul Erdős in 1946 — a problem that asks how many pairs among n points in a plane can sit exactly distance one apart. [1] The model produced a counterexample improving the lower bound from the square-grid construction to n^(1+δ) for a fixed δ greater than zero; Princeton's Will Sawin subsequently refined the explicit improvement to δ = 0.014. [2] Fields medalist Tim Gowers and seven co-authors published a companion remarks paper, with Gowers writing on X that it solves "one of Erdős's favourite questions and one that many mathematicians had tried."

Earlier in the same week, Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark gave the Oxford Martin School annual lecture in which he predicted a "Nobel-worthy breakthrough" from AI inside twelve months and explicitly acknowledged that there is a "non-zero chance it could kill everyone." [3] The two events landed inside the same news cycle the paper has been tracking as Anthropic's Stainless acquisition and the closing of the $30 billion round.

The structural read is that the public-frontier capability discourse is now Vatican-encyclical-relevant in the literal sense — Magnifica Humanitas publishes Monday. Erdős set the conjecture in 1946; an autonomous system solved it in May 2026; an AI-lab co-founder told an Oxford audience the same week that there is a real probability the path forward kills everyone. The next test is Monday's encyclical text and whether the Vatican explicitly cites a capability event of this size.

-- ANNA WEBER, Berlin

Sources & X Posts

News Sources
[1] https://openai.com/index/model-disproves-discrete-geometry-conjecture/
[2] https://gilkalai.wordpress.com/2026/05/21/amazing-erdos-unit-distance-problem-was-disproved-it-was-achieved-by-ai/
[3] https://pasqualepillitteri.it/en/news/3065/openai-erdos-unit-distance-conjecture-ai-breakthrough
X Posts
[4] AI has now solved a major open problem -- one of the best known Erdos problems called the unit distance problem, one of Erdos's favourite questions and one that many mathematicians had tried. https://x.com/wtgowers/status/2057175729008153069
[5] An internal OpenAI model has disproved one of the most well-known Erdős problems: the unit distance problem. This is, without doubt, the most impressive achievement of AI in mathematics so far. https://x.com/thomasfbloom/status/2057177152894771631

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